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The Private Debt Barometer currently holds a stable, slightly positive score of 53, with a nowcast of 2.6% and a desmoothed nowcast of 2.9% for Q2 2025. These readings are driven primarily by performance in public equity and credit indexes, market volatility, Treasury yields, and broader macroeconomic factors. Current indicators point to relatively healthy fundamentals for private debt returns.
(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Latest news
Q2 European direct lending activity up 9%
Despite the geopolitical and macroeconomic events of the first half of the year creating a volatile environment, the European private credit market continues to demonstrate robust resilience.
Share of PE middle-market fund count by size bucket
Sector composition tilted hard toward B2B in Q1. B2B accounted for 52.9% of middle-market exit value, up from 38.2% in full-year 2025…
The Lead Left rebrands as The Lead, expanding into a multi-format platform for private capital intelligence
New York, July 16, 2026 – The Lead Left, the private capital thought leadership platform founded by Randy Schwimmer in 2008, today announced its rebrand as The Lead…

