iceberg

When private equity makes the news, its typically large buyout firms. They buy mega companies, so unsurprisingly make for better headline material. But bigger funds are just the tip of the iceberg. Below the surface is a scaled and matured middle market.

Purchasing dynamics favor the middle market (MM). Large US buyout funds (defined as more than $2 billion fund size) manage $775 billion of dry power. That capital is chasing 4,500 large companies with greater than $500 million revenue. US buyout funds under $2 billion manage $300 billion of dry powder, and target 33 million companies with less than $500 million revenue. Standalone, the US MM is the third largest economy in the world...

Quote of the Week

“GPs are increasingly recognizing the importance of underwriting operational value creation as core parts of their deal theses. Global Private Markets Report 2026, McKinsey & Company.

Featuring Charts

Chart of the Week: The Sweet Spot

February 17, 2026

The middle market punches above its weight. Source: State Street Private Equity Index as of 9/30/2025

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Chart of the Week: Private-Side Only

February 10, 2026

US companies that go public are opting to stay private longer. Source: Jay Ritter, University of Florida; Apollo’s The Daily Spark

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Chart of the Week: The Equity Premium

February 4, 2026

In the long-term private equity pays for more risk with better returns. Source: MSCI

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Chart of the Week: Inventory Check

January 27, 2026

Private equity remains an attractive option for investors through cycles. Source: PitchBook

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Chart of the Week: State of Returns

January 21, 2026

For over two decades private equity has outperformed public stocks in state pension plans. Source: Cliffwater

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Chart of the Week: Back in the Game

January 15, 2026

While PE deals transacted shrunk since 2021, deal values rose over past three years. Source: PitchBook

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Features

Bloomberg: Leveraged Lending Insights – 2/16/2026

Primary Market Activity Cools Following Active January Click here to access Bloomberg’s US Leveraged Finance Chartbook After a robust start to the year that saw $168.2b in US leveraged loan launches during January, primary market activity has slowed considerably. Through Wednesday, February 18, just $25.9b of new deals have launched – marking the lowest level…

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The Pulse of Private Equity – 2/16/2026

Technology PE deal activity Download PitchBook’s Report here. Technology PE deal activity experienced an outsized year, with deal value higher by 67.4% YoY even though deal count rose by a relatively more modest 13.4%…. Subscribe to Read MoreAlready a member? Log in here...

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Octus: Private Credit & Deal Origination Insights – 2/16/2026

Issuers in the Information Technology (23%) and Consumer Discretionary (22%) Sectors Topped BDC Non-Accruals as of Q3’25 Click here to request access to the full report. Business development companies, like much of the market, have been focusing on their exposure to software…. Subscribe to Read MoreAlready a member? Log in here...

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Middle Market & Private Credit – 2/16/2026

U.S. Private Credit and Middle Market Performance Monitor: 4Q25 Click here to learn more. Fitch’s Privately Monitored Ratings (PMR) Portfolio – 4Q25 In the charts above, Fitch presents aggregate data for issuers in its PMR portfolio. Fitch privately rates these issuers on behalf of asset managers…. Subscribe to Read MoreAlready a member? Log in here...

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis – 2/16/2026

BDC share price to NAV moves lower amid expected lower base rates and software sector exposure BDC valuations have moved lower recently amid some concerns around credit quality, specifically in the software sector, in which many BDCs have sizeable stakes…. Subscribe to Read MoreAlready a member? Log in here...

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Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

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