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While the much-anticipated surge in M&A activity still has yet to materialize, the latter part of 2025 provided some encouraging signs for a 2026 rebound. After declining in the first two quarters of 2025, Octus data shows that the number of direct lending deals backing M&A activity was up 17% and 19% quarter over quarter in the third and fourth quarters of 2025, respectively. At 368 deals, deals backing M&A accounted for 57% of the total number of deals in the fourth quarter, with the M&A contribution to total deal activity increasing across all deal sizes.
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Concentrated Effort
The upper middle market tends to have clear favorite. Source: KBRA DLD Research
Middle market debt held by BDCs vs High yield vs Treasury yields
The blue line represents the current dividend yield of the VanEck BDC Income ETF (BIZD), which stood at 12%. The…

Business of Private Credit: Sectors and SIC Codes
We’ve spent the last few weeks covering the businesses of the core middle market. Does that same discipline hold when you move up market?