What characteristics of loans will cause the biggest problems in the future?

LSEG (1)
Content hub / Article / LSEG / What characteristics of loans will cause the biggest problems in the future?

When asked what characteristics of loans determine which middle market lenders will see the biggest problems in the future at LPC’s 7th Annual Middle Market Loans Conference, earlier this month, half of respondents chose weak documents, including aggressive EBITDA add-backs. Another 35% said it really comes down to the manager. They viewed poor credit selection and a lack of discipline in putting money to work as the biggest determinant of future performance. Not surprising, loose financial covenants were only the biggest concern for seven percent of lenders which is in line with the thinking that credit selection should trump structure, echoed by investors who say covenants don’t pay them back, cash flows do. However, one tenth of respondents do believe that highly levered structures coupled with little to no junior subordination will be the biggest determinant of performance. But, what really constitutes a true first lien these days? When asked to select the best definition of a true “first lien” senior loan, at the same conference, 72% selected that the loan has a first dollar attachment point. Nearly one fifth said the loan is < 60% LTV at origination and 12% focused on the loan having a maximum leverage level of 5.0 times debt to EBITDA.

Contact: Ioana Barza
ioana.barza@refinitiv.com

Contact Ioana Barza
Business development companies and the rise of balance sheet financing vehicles

Podcast

Business development companies and the rise of balance sheet financing vehicles

Fitch's Deb Murnin and Chelsea Richardson discuss the growing use of off-balance-sheet JVs and finance companies among BDCs, exploring the drivers, leverage impacts, portfolio risk profiles, and potential rating implications for Fitch-rated BDCs.
Listen
Private Debt Investor New York Forum

September 15-16, Hudson Yards, New York

Private Debt Investor New York Forum

Bringing together the investors, managers and advisers shaping the next phase of the market — 200+ allocators and $10.6 trillion of LP capital expected. Benchmark strategies, hear from leading LPs, and cut through market noise over two unmissable days.
Learn more
US Private Credit League Tables H1'26

Report

US Private Credit League Tables H1'26

The definitive rankings covering private credit activity in H1'26.
Download
PitchBook's Q2 2026 US PE Breakdown

Report

PitchBook's Q2 2026 US PE Breakdown

Software freezes and energy powers on as US PE deal value falls 38% in Q2 2026.
Download
Making sense of private credit defaults

Webinar

Making sense of private credit defaults

What does private credit default data really tell us? Join our exclusive webinar featuring experts from KBRA, Moody's, Fitch Ratings, and S&P Global to find out.
Register

Latest news

    Rate hike expectations ease as term SOFR curve flattens

    The CME six-month Term SOFR rate reached a recent high of 3.979% on July 28 before retreating to 3.837% as…

    Read More

    3Q26: New loan assets rise to 44% of total lending, a 3-year high

    New loan assets as a proportion of total US loan volume make up 44% of the 3Q26 pipeline to date,…

    Read More

    North American GPs dominant as fundraising accelerates

    Our PEI Private Credit 200 ranking also shows capital raising increasing overall – and accelerating especially fast for the largest…

    Read More