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Business of Private Credit: Safety, Not Size

Even the best credit managers have loans that go bad. What separates them from everyone else is how they bring history and experience to working those problems out.

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    The OG of Private Credit: Conjuring a Crisis

    According to Merriam-Webster, apophenia, or mistaken pattern recognition, is “the tendency to perceive a connection or meaningful pattern between unrelated or random things.”

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    Setting Expectations

    Despite the headlines, direct lending makes up a much smaller share of household and business debt than mortgages did at…

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    Retail Investors Return to Loan Funds Amid Shifting Rate Expectations

    Retail investors have steadily returned to leveraged loan funds following two consecutive months of net redemptions. The Invesco Senior Loan…

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    Jumbo LBO deals steal spotlight in March amid macroeconomic uncertainty

    Leveraged buyout (LBO) activity reached USD 17.9bn in March, the highest monthly total since USD 22.8bn in September 2021. The…

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    Average Free-and-Clear as a Multiple of Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA

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    U.S. Private Credit and Middle Market Performance Monitor: 1Q26

    Fitch’s Privately Monitored Ratings Portfolio – 1Q26 In the charts above, Fitch presents aggregate data for issuers in its PMR…

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    Continuation-fund-related exit count

    For Q1 2026, we tracked 38 exits through continuation funds totaling $10.8 billion when including estimates for nondisclosed transactions.

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    BDC share price to net asset value remains under pressure

    BDC valuations remain under pressure, driven by negative headlines around private credit and fears around the potetial impact of AI…

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    US Leveraged Loan Launches Ramp Up on Market Optimism

    The US leveraged loan market has seen launches totaling $34.75b through Wednesday April 13, marking the first time weekly launches…

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    Large Cap Spreads Widened, Middle Market Held Steady

    Spreads Widened Large Cap Deals, Were Relatively Flat for Middle Market Deals

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    U.S. Private Credit and Middle Market Performance Monitor: 1Q26

    The PMR default rate based solely on bankruptcies, liquidations, and out-of-court restructurings was 1.9%.

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    Technology loans move higher but continue to trade at a discount to the broader secondary market

    Technology loans continue to trade at a discount to the broader secondary market, as investors have reassessed their exposure to…

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    The OG of Private Credit: The Dot Calm

    For over a decade, software has been the darling of investors. The reasons were evident long before the pandemic made the sector impossible to ignore.

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    The Bigger Picture

    Software became less of a sector and more of a defining strategy — particularly among larger funds. Source: BDC collateral

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    Percentage of First-Lien Institutional Loans That Cleared with Key Covenant Terms

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    PE exit activity by quarter

    US PE exit activity pulled back in Q1 2026, as the many headwinds made it difficult to maintain the momentum seen in H2 2025.

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