Chart of the Week: Lower for Longer
The past two years have not been kind to holders of ten-year Treasurys. Source: The Daily Shot, Alpine Macro(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
The past two years have not been kind to holders of ten-year Treasurys. Source: The Daily Shot, Alpine Macro(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
The futures market now expects Fed Funds to be 120 bps lower next year. Source: The Daily Shot(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Economic growth estimates for next year have improved in recent months. Source: Bloomberg, The Daily Shot(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
The traditional equities and fixed-income model is under-performing the historic average. Source: Bloomberg, The Daily Shot(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Churchill’s senior debt portfolio showing higher revenues and cash flows. Source: Churchill Asset Management LLC(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
October’s labor report showed lower-than-expected job creation; a good inflation sign. Source: The Daily Shot(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Though a slowdown for 4Q and 1Q 2024 is expected, the US economy shows few signs of it. Source: The Daily Shot(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Blockbuster drugs Ozempic and Wegovy are driving Denmark’s manufacturing production. Source: Apricitas Economics(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Industrial activity in Sweden surged in August, thanks to higher car and truck production. Source: The Daily Shot / OECD(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
September’s unexpected new job additions of 336,000 increased Fed hike concerns. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)