TheLeadLeft

Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis - 10/30/2023

ABL Deep Dive: Numbers don’t tell entire story Over US$126bn in asset based loan volume was completed in 1-3Q23 which at first glance suggests record total for the first nine months of the year – something lenders are certainly not feeling.  And there are several reasons for this.  In 3Q23 alone,… Subscribe to Read MoreAlready

No Signs of Slowing (Except Defaults)

Since Labor Day we’ve spent considerable time at conferences and with investors. Nothing focuses the mind better. And what we’ve found is a disconnect between perception and reality.  Take the economy. Beginning a year ago, there was a growing worry that higher rates were going to plunge the US into a recession. Anyone calling for…

The Pulse of Private Equity – 10/23/2023

A big drop in mega-buyouts Download PitchBook’s Report here. $1B+ deals are set for a big decline this year, according to PitchBook’s Q3 US PE Breakdown. Through Q3, about $156 billion has been invested via billion-dollar deals, a far cry from the $352 billion seen last year. It’s an even further drop compared to 2021, when almost half…

Middle Market & Private Credit – 10/23/2023

U.S. Middle Market CLOs’ ‘CCC’ Exposure Rising in Third Quarter Negative rating migration has increased the average exposure to assets rated ‘CCC+’ or below to 19.4%, up 4.3% compared to 2Q23, across U.S. middle market (MM) collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) under surveillance by Fitch Ratings…. Subscribe to Read MoreAlready a member? Log in here...

Letter from Stockholm

Our recent visit to Sweden was the 12th country in our 2023 global private credit tour meeting clients and prospects. The Nordic region has always been strong in terms of investor interest and commitment to alternatives. Amid higher rates, that appetite has sharpened, as our colleagues at Arcmont (and Nuveen for real estate and green […]

Debtwire Middle-Market – 10/23/2023

Repricings tick upward in opportune window An upturn in repricing transactions has been seen in the leveraged loan market over the past two months, as tightening margins have afforded issuers the ability to refresh existing deals at lower interest rates. The reasons behind the rise in repricing as a means of replacing existing debt could…

PDI Picks – 10/23/2023

What’s next for distress? PDI’s Germany Forum examined the upcoming opportunity set for distressed and special situations as a refinancing wave looms. “This is the best [distress] opportunity we’ve seen in a decade,” said a panellist at the PDI Germany Forum last week, referring to what he described as around 30 percent of the total…