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Middle Market & Private Credit – 1/8/2024

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Fitch’s U.S. Middle Market Outlook Download Fitchratings’s Report here. The distribution of middle market (MM) issuers’ Outlooks within Fitch’s portfolio stayed relatively flat in 2023 compared with 2022. Approximately 11% of MM issuers have a Negative Outlook or Watch, relatively unchanged from 2022, and a large decline from 30% in 2020. Net upgrades have hovered around…

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PDI Picks – 1/8/2024

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Allocations challenged, but sentiment is positive Last year saw limited partners rein back on their private credit commitments, but there’s no lack of confidence in prospects for the asset class. In 2023, limited partners were cautious about allocations to alternative assets in general – private credit may have suffered a little less than some other…

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Debtwire Middle-Market – 1/8/2024

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Source: VanEck BDC Income ETF, BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Effective Yield The blue line in the chart is the current dividend yield of the *VanEck BDC Income ETF (currently at 10.7% as of 8 January, down from the highest level in last 12 months of 12.1% in May 2023) that tracks the overall…

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Covenant Trends - 1/8/2024

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Average New-Issue Clearing Spreads (Single B) and Covenant Terms for All First-Lien Institutional Loans (Past performance is no guarantee of future results.) Contact: Steven Miller smiller@covenantreview.com

Four for ’24 (Second of a Series)

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The US economy continues to roll along. December’s labor report showed 261,000 new jobs, a vigorous uptick from the 173,000 number in November. Market observers took this as a sign that the Fed’s projected three rate cuts for 2024 may be more back-ended. The current QT policy, draining liquidity from the financial system and bank…

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