TheLeadLeft

The Pulse of Private Equity – 2/19/2024

Despite the uptick in LBO EBITDA yields, the risk-free rate’s move up makes 2023 valuations particularly unattractive, historically speaking. Download PitchBook’s Report here. Comparing EBITDA yields to the 10-year Treasury allows us to normalize for the interest rate environment when each vintage was beginning to make their leveraged investments. We then net that against buyout fund…

Debtwire Middle-Market – 2/19/2024

Source: VanEck BDC Income ETF, BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Effective Yield The blue line in the chart is the current dividend yield of the *VanEck BDC Income ETF (currently at 10.8% as of 15 February, down from the highest level in last 12 months of 12.1% in May 2023) that tracks the overall performance…

Covenant Trends - 2/19/2024

Rolling Tallies of MFN Sunsets (Past performance is no guarantee of future results.) Contact: Steven Miller smiller@covenantreview.com

Middle Market & Private Credit – 2/19/2024

Fitch’s Private Middle Market Portfolio, Rating Activity Upgrades/downgrades in Fitch’s PMM portfolio are generally skewed toward downgrades, as issuer ratings can be constrained on the upside based on limited scale. Downgrades outpaced upgrades in 2023 as pressure from higher interest rates affected the FCF and financial flexibility of issuers in lower rating categories…. Subscribe to

PDI Picks – 2/19/2024

Investors bullish on returns Private debt’s recent outperformance of private equity has bolstered faith in its ability to beat performance benchmarks. Another boost was given to believers in a private debt ‘golden age’ last week, with a report from Bloomberg suggesting private debt fund returns beat those for private equity for two quarters in a…

Chart of the Week: Larger for Longer

Echoing dynamics in the loan market, corporate debt maturities have lengthened. Source: Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

How to Stop Worrying About the Maturity Wall (Last of a Series)

It is a measure of the impact the GFC had on regulators, financial policy makers, and the capital markets that faith in systemic liquidity is now a foundational principle. We saw that confidence further underlined as the economy emerged intact from the global pandemic. And supported as well by the patience shown by financial markets…

The Pulse of Private Equity – 2/12/2024

Over the long term, PE growth and buyout have been standout performers. VC was keeping pace but has retrenched since 2021. Download PitchBook’s Report here. This assumes investing in our universe of funds for which we have cash flows and net asset value (NAV) data available each quarter. It is a hypothetical result if one were…

Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis - 2/12/2024

BDC portfolio marks edge higher in most recent quarter* *Based on universe of BDCs that have reported 4Q23 earnings as of 2/13/24 BDC earnings season is in its early stages, with the vast majority of funds still yet to file. However, taking a look at the 16 BDCs that have published their 4Q23 results as…