The confusion around differences between public and private credit dynamics has been compounded by the rapid growth of the illiquid asset class. The middle market was infrequently on investors’ radars until it began to rival broadly syndicated loans and high-yield bonds in size.
At $1.5 trillion, private credit has caught up with both, and by some estimates will more than double in the next several years. That kind of popularity attracts an increasing number of investors (“Wow, what’s this?”) historically in large-cap, liquid strategies. Such a raised profile also has raised eyebrows with regulators and the media (“Wow, should we be worried?”).
These reactions are perfectly understandable. Anytime significant dollars are entering any investment category in a seeming hurry there’s room for deeper scrutiny. Such was the case with SPACs back in early 2021. Special purpose acquisition companies were the hottest thing back then, as we profiled here. And we know what happened to them.