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Business of Private Credit: Coming Home

Much attention has been paid to the suitability of Matt Damon in the lead role as the wily Odysseus in this summer’s Christopher Nolan blockbuster.

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    Queue Here

    Investor education is becoming critical as quarterly redemption limits are being tested. Source: Data is derived from publicly available information,…

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    Ex Uno, Plures

    Unlike the US, private credit began as one entity and morphed into many states. Source: Apollo Outlook For Public and…

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    Different Strokes

    Core and LMM portfolio overlap has remained relatively stable over the past decade. Source: Company filings and Raymond James research

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    Leverage Takeover 

    Middle market buyout financings increasingly dominated by direct lenders. Source: LSEG LPC. Middle Market LBO volume.

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    Perception is Reality

    Investors bombarded with scary headlines worrying less about real private credit risks. Source: PitchBook

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    The IT Factor

    IT deals commanded a larger piece of the M&A pie in 2025. Source: PitchBook

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    Leading the Way

    The US was a relative bright spot in global private equity fundraising in 2025. Source: Preqin, McKinsey analysis

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    Clearing the Backlog

    US and European exits were on the rise in 2025. Source: Dealogic, Bain & Company

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    Growth is King

    Private equity returns are largely attributable to revenue growth. Source: McKinsey & Co, SPI by StepStone

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    The Sweet Spot

    The middle market punches above its weight. Source: State Street Private Equity Index as of 9/30/2025

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    Private-Side Only

    US companies that go public are opting to stay private longer. Source: Jay Ritter, University of Florida; Apollo’s The Daily…

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    The Equity Premium

    In the long-term private equity pays for more risk with better returns. Source: MSCI

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    Inventory Check

    Private equity remains an attractive option for investors through cycles. Source: PitchBook

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    State of Returns

    For over two decades private equity has outperformed public stocks in state pension plans. Source: Cliffwater

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    Back in the Game

    While PE deals transacted shrunk since 2021, deal values rose over past three years. Source: PitchBook

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    Private Credit Doubles

    Direct lending and BDCs expected to lead the growth of private credit. Source: Fitch Ratings

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