Media

2021: Injections and Projections

What have you missed most over the past few months? Well, if you said “Grape-Nuts” we feel your pain. Our beloved cereal has gone missing from supermarket shelves across the US. First produced in 1897 Grape-Nuts accompanied Sir Admiral Byrd to Antarctica and Sir Edmund Hillary to Mount Everest. But don’t worry. They’ll be back. […]

2020: The M&A Big Bang

We conclude our special series, “Five Biggest Private Capital​ Surprises of 2020,” with: Surprise #5: The M&A Big Bang Last July published a white paper on COVID-19 and M&A Activity. It was called “COVID-19 and M&A Activity”. Besides logistical challenges, there were worries about second and third infection waves. “We’re expecting a light second half,” […]

Private Credit - Industries Matter

We continue our special series with the fourth of our “Five Biggest Private Capital​ Surprises of 2020:” Surprise #4: Which Industries Mattered? For experienced credit managers, diversity is a key investing principle. The question coming into last March’s downturn was, have we made the right decisions on industries to lean into and out of? Generalists […]

Where’s all the distressed credit?

We continue our special series with the third of our “Five Biggest Private Capital​ Surprises of 2020:” Surprise #3: Where Are the Distressed Loans? Last April the CEO of a large asset manager said the volume of potential distressed credit investments could be $1 trillion. COVID, he said, presented “a massive opportunity to deploy capital […]

Correlation Nation: Private Credit...and Everything Else

We continue our special series with the second of our “Five Biggest Private Capital Surprises of 2020:” Surprise #2: Non-Correlated Trends – Infections, Markets, and the Economy At their lowest moments in the Global Financial Crisis and the Global Biological Crisis, financial markets swooned in synch as investors found no safe havens. Bad news sunk […]

2020 Surprise #1: The SnapBack

Because last year was so unique, to really capture its themes adequately we’re kick off our special series: “The Five Biggest Private Capital Surprises of 2020.” Surprise #1: The Market Snap-Back Hard to remember now, but by last March 23rd the Dow plunged almost 11,000 points in less than six weeks to 18,592. Today it […]

Private Credit: A Good 2020 Story

December was lost in a fog of masks and Netflix bingeing. But one item that penetrated our consciousness was a superb credit webinar, courtesy Lincoln International. Their data, gleaned from over 1600 portfolio companies, are a strong proxy for private credit behavior: For example, sector performance underlined valuation advantages for less COVID-impacted industries such as […]

SPACs - The Final Word

As we wrap up our special SPAC series, let’s take a look at the performance of these vehicles over time. According to research firm Renaissance Capital, of the 200-plus SPACs launched since 2015, 107 have completed mergers and gone public. Shares in those issuers averaged a loss of 14%. Compare that to an average regular-way […]

SPACSs: Weighing the Benefits

Workers unwrapping the Christmas tree at Rockefeller Center last month found a little present. The 75-foot high Norway spruce from Oneanta, NY was sheltering what appeared to be a baby owl. The stowaway turned out to be an adult northern sawhet that hid in the branches until it was discovered. No word whether “Rocky” planned […]

SPACs: Colorful blank checks

For Thanksgiving the noted sommelier and “lifestyle director” Sara Lehman reviewed eleven wines – cabernets, pinot grigios and rosés – all under $10. Selections came from Trader Joe’s (“It’s reminding me of apple juice”), Costco (“Give it a nice swirl first”), and BJ’s (“I’m getting some barnyard”). The winner? Target: “If I were to bring […]