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Relative Value in Large and Midcaps

June’s CPI report showed inflation running at 9.1%, dashing hopes that consumer prices had peaked. Data came from across the economy, challenging the Fed’s rate hike pace. Will 75 bps be enough, or will the Fed kick it up to 1%? Equity markets seem to be buying the notion that longer-term inflation is still headed […]

Relative Value in the Loan Market

In recent months, thanks to market volatility caused by higher interest rates, toppy inflation, and the perceived higher probability of a recession, large cap loan prices have traded down sharply. S&P/LCD’s leveraged loan index has dropped from 98.5 in February to 92 last week… ▶︎ Read July 11 2022 newsletter: here ▶︎ Chart of the […]

Portfolio Construction: BSL and MM

Broadly syndicated loans are liquid, one investor told us, so they high volatility that exaggerates credit deterioration. The middle market, he said, is illiquid, so has low volatility which can mask credit deterioration… ▶︎ Read July 4 2022 newsletter: here ▶︎ Chart of the Week: here (by Lincoln International, S&P/LCD) (Any “forward-looking” information may include, […]

Portfolio Construction: How PE Help

Many direct lenders only finance businesses backed by private equity sponsors. While non-sponsored strategies have benefits, the presence of an owner with its own track record, industry experience, and deal sourcing prowess, gives relationship lenders distinct advantages… ▶︎ Read June 27 2022 newsletter: here ▶︎ Chart of the Week: here (by Lincoln International, S&P Capital […]

Portfolio Construction: Best in Breed

“What’s the key portfolio strategy managers should employ for success?” “Diversify!” That’s how one top PM answered our question. There are many levels and measures of diversity. You don’t want to be stuck with large exposures in any one industry, no matter how resilient it may seem… ▶︎ Read June 20 2022 newsletter: here ▶︎ […]

Why Portfolio Construction Matters: Introduction

What makes for successful portfolio construction in private credit? The issue carries more urgency amid current public market turmoil. Leveraged loans will always be in a non-investment grade risk bucket. Middle market loans, being less leveraged and covenanted, are a more conservative play, but recessions will always test borrowers no matter how creditworthy… ▶︎ Read […]

Fed Up, Slow Down

As the oldest living person on Earth until her passing last month, #KaneTanaka was born a year before the Wright Brothers’ historic first flight at Kitty Hawk. Her secret to a long life? “Being myself.”… ▶︎ Read JUNE 6 2022 newsletter: here ▶︎ Chart of the Week: here (by Bloomberg, UBS (courtesy The Daily Shot)) […]

Touch and Go: Soft Fed Landings

The old Naval Air Station in Charlestown, RI was right next to the summer house we lived in as kids. Aviators would fly training patterns over our heads, circle back to the airfield, touch wheels down, and head around again… ▶︎ Read May 30 2022 newsletter: here ▶︎ Chart of the Week: here (by Natixis, […]

Private Debt, Breakfast of Champions

Last month the FDA began a formal investigation into complaints that eating Lucky Charms was making people sick. On iwaspoisoned.com, a social media forum, thousands reported serious stomach problems after eating the popular cereal… ▶︎ Read May 23 2022 newsletter: here ▶︎ Chart of the Week: here (by Numera Analytics) (Any “forward-looking” information may include, […]

Why ESG Matters: Private Credit

We wrap up our special series by examining how private credit integrates ESG into its various strategies. While credit managers are typically not involved in the direct management of businesses they finance, impact investing is an exception. According to a recent PDI article, private debt represents 34% of all impact investing AUM, with real assets […]