KBRA DLD Default Index: 2023 forecast is 2.5% for sponsored deals KBRA DLD’s 2023 default forecast is 2.5% for sponsor-backed direct lending loans, equating to roughly 30 defaults against the roughly 1,200 sponsored borrowers in the KBRA DLD Default Index. Table 1 The year-to-date (YTD) sponsored rate is 1.2%, which includes 14 defaults—mainly bankruptcies. Searchlight…
Are the storm clouds receding? Private debt may be in the process of demonstrating its resilience in the face of the latest challenges. One thing that studies consistently show – including our own Perspectives survey, see chart above – is that investors are still scrambling to access private debt. Tough times we may be living…
Rating Trend for Middle Market Issuers Following a modestly positive 2021 in which upgrades in Fitch’s Private Monitored Rating portfolio outpaced downgrades at a rate of around 1.2x, downgrades outpaced upgrades in 2022 at a 1.8x rate as inflation crimped earnings. Downgrades continued to outpace upgrades in 1Q23, with around two downgrades for every upgrade…
A welcome bump in exits Download PitchBook’s Report here. Exit activity rose in Q2 and stopped a four-quarter slide, according to PitchBook’s just-released US PE Breakdown. It wasn’t exactly a resurgence, but was welcome news nonetheless. Exits came to a standstill in Q1, registering just $52.3 billion in total…. Subscribe to Read MoreAlready a member? Log
Firms look for new ways into technology The sector is continuing to grow in popularity, evidenced by recent strategic moves from the likes of SoftBank and BlackRock. The technology sector has proved to be one of the most popular and resilient for private credit lenders ever since the covid-19 pandemic, and the trend shows little…
Growth capital dominates in North American PD deals Almost two thirds of private debt deals since 2020 involved North American portfolio companies, demonstrating the region’s dominance in the asset class. Of the deals involving North American portfolio companies, 33% are growth capital deals, 29% are buyouts and 19% add-ons, followed by recapitalisations (13%)…. Subscribe to
2Q23 US middle market syndicated lending dropped 53% year-over-year US middle market syndicated loan volume reached US$27.8bn in 2Q23, down 53% from 2Q22 and 7% quarter-over-quarter. Sponsored syndicated loan volume was on par with 1Q23, but was down 60% year-over-year, while non-sponsored issuance of US$20.9bn in 2Q23 was 50% lower year-over-year and 10% lower than…
Latest Performance Trends for U.S. MM CLOs Defaulted and deferring exposure across MM CLOs remained low at 0.7% in 1Q23, while deferrables stood at 6.4%. Exposure to assets rated ‘CCC+’ or below by Fitch Issuer Default Rate Equivalency Rating, as described in Appendix 5 of Fitch’s CLOs and Corporate CDO Rating Criteria, registered at 15.8%….
PE’s impending maturity wall Download PitchBook’s Report here. Private equity’s stunted exit market is now several quarters old, and it comes on the heels of a historic run of deal activity. A new PitchBook analyst note looks ahead to an “impending maturity wall” and the ripple effects it could have on the industry…. Subscribe to Read
1H23 U.S. loan volume down 18% y-o-y; 2Q23 totals down 32% y-o-y Bruising market volatility marked by higher interest rates, increased regulatory scrutiny of large corporate M&A deals and lender expectations of greater regulatory oversight among reigonal banks contributed to a significant slow down in the 1H23 US BSL market. Roughly US$571bn of issuance was…