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The Pulse of Private Equity - 3/13/2017

Longer fundraising times indicate future for PE fund managers?

The time between closing of funds was by far the longest of the decade for private equity fund managers last year, whether you looked at the median or the mean. Especially in the wake of the significant uptick in 2015 the increase is striking, and adds considerable color to the current fundraising scene. Firstly, in light of fund sizes creeping upward by and large, the simple fact that it takes longer to raise a larger fund should be noted...

Private Debt Intelligence - 3/13/2017

Private Debt Industry Assets Approach $600bn

The private debt industry has continued to grow in recent years, and as of the end of H1 2016 reached a record $595bn in assets under management. This comprises $224bn in capital available to fund managers (‘dry powder’) and $371bn in unrealized investments held by private debt vehicles. Both of these components have increased over the first half of the year, up from $216bn and $339bn respectively as of the end of 2015...

Markit Recap – 3/6/2017

We noted last month that credit markets are still sensitive to political polls, despite doubts about their accuracy.

In particular, sovereign cds in Western Europe was responding to polls showing National Front leader Marine Le Pen surging ahead in the race to become France’s next president. Le Pen has stated that she is in favour of leaving the EU under the current framework, so it was no surprise to see France’s spreads widen when she took the lead in the polls.

But it was the behavior in the “ISDA basis” - the difference between sovereign CDS trading under 2014 and 2003 definitions - that caught our attention. Before Le Pen’s surge in popularity, the basis was stable at around 3bps. After her gains in the polls, the basis increased to 23bps in the final week of January...

Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis - 3/6/2017

More middle market lenders expect to meet lending goals in 2017

Middle market lenders' outlook has changed a bit after coming off of a year where competition intensified and the majority of banks surveyed along with half of nonn-banks reported falling below lending goals. But, according to Thomson Reuters LPC's most recent survey, the share of those who expect to fall short again in 2017 is much lower. Only one third of banks and one fifth of non-banks don’t expect success, stating that continued competition and aggressive structures will hold them back...

The Pulse of Private Equity - 3/6/2017

Demand for PE exposure to slacken eventually?

In 2016, 87.6% of private equity funds that closed in North America and Europe hit or exceeded their targets. Even compared to the heights of 2014 and 2015, that figure represents a clear high of the decade, and, moreover, the extent to which limited partners of multiple types are eager for exposure to the PE asset class. Given that 356 funds closed in 2016—a lower tally than observed in any of the three preceding years—but the average fund size soared to nearly $765 million...

Private Debt Intelligence - 3/6/2017

Investor Views on the Key Macroeconomic Factors Affecting the Private Debt Industry

Institutional investors currently hold the private debt industry in extremely high regard, with 93% of respondents surveyed by Preqin at the end of 2016 stating that their investments had either met or exceeded their expectations in 2016. However, investors will be keeping an eye on the macroeconomic factors that affected their portfolio in 2016 and are likely to make an impact in 2017...

Markit Recap – 2/27/2017

It is no secret that a divide - maybe a chasm - has opened up between the US and Europe. Donald Trump's mercantilist views put his presidency at loggerheads with the globalist EU, though a post-Brexit UK may yet turn out to be an ideological bedfellow.

But this week we saw signs that a division is manifesting itself in the credit markets. The Markit CDX.NA.IG has rallied steadily in recent months - since Trump's election victory on November 8 2016, the index has tightened from 75bps to 60bps. Over the same period the Markit iTraxx Europe was just 2bps tighter at 71bps. The 11bps basis between the two on-the-run indices is the largest for more than three years...

Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis - 2/27/2017

Unitranche loses favor in 1Q17 as sponsors gravitate toward second-lien

A recent middle market lender survey revealed that sponsors are favoring the first­/second­ lien structure according to 42% of respondents. Meanwhile, in the survey carried out by Thomson Reuters LPC, 27% said the unitranche is the most favored structure by sponsors today. This is a meaningful departure from this time last year when half of the buyside and sellside survey respondents said sponsors preferred the unitranche structure. More onerous call protection, higher pricing and the need for covenants are typical of the unitranche...

The Pulse of Private Equity - 2/27/2017

PE-backed exits trend down in size

For the second year in a row, the median private equity-backed exit in North America and Europe has trended downward in size across all three primary routes of liquidity. The typical corporate acquisition in 2016 cleared $138.1 million, a 13.7% decline from the $160 million notched in 2015. After the significant growth in median exit sizes from roughly 2013 to 2015, it is important to note that the numbers recorded in 2016 were still aligned somewhat with those seen in 2010 and 2011. Given that these figures are still relatively healthy on a historical basis...

Private Debt Intelligence - 2/27/2017

Private Debt Management Fees Drop to Eight-Year Low

Fund terms within the alternative assets industry have been of particular focus over the last few years as investors have largely united to push managers for greater transparency and improved alignment of interest.

Within the private debt industry, this approach appears to be paying dividends with the average management fee reaching an eight-year low for 2016 vintage funds which charge a mean fee of 1.63%...