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Markit Recap – 11/21/2016

The European Commission announced on November 23 a banking reform package that will result in changes to the CRR and CRD IV capital requirement legislation, as well as changes to the BRRD and SRMR legislation relating to recovery and resolution of failing financial institutions. The package is very broad, so we won’t attempt to comment on all of the measures.

But one change under the BRRD caught our eye, as it will have a material impact on how the bond market – and possibly the CDS market - trades. The EC proposes a harmonised framework for bondholder hierarchy...

Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis -11/21/2016

Primary yields widen slightly so far in November

Yields have widened slightly in November to the highest average since July. The average yield, assuming a three year term to repayment on first-lien institutional loans is in the 5.36% context so far in November, slightly up from 5.1% in October. Demand for loans remains strong, and some issuers continue to successfully tap the market to cut costs, but weaker credits are facing some pushback. In turn, the number of downward and upward price flexes are roughly the same so far this month. In contrast, downward price flexes outnumbered upward price revisions by 2.3 times in October...

Private Debt Intelligence - 11/21/2016

First-Time Private Debt Fundraising

First-time private debt funds are of increasing interest to investors: a recent Preqin study found that the majority of investors across the private capital landscape will now consider investing in emerging funds. However, it appears that this segment of the market has yet to fully develop, and continues to be bound to the fundraising picture at the top end of the industry.

Over the past decade, first-time fundraising has often run counter to the overall private debt fundraising environment. For instance, in the period 2010-2012, when overall fundraising saw annual increases...

The Pulse of Private Equity - 11/21/2016

Size Doesn’t Matter in PE Fund Performance Over the Long Term

Despite the dueling claims that smaller PE fund managers lack sophistication or sufficient scale, or that larger fund managers lack the nimbleness and operational focus and expertise necessary to improve portfolio companies, returns across different sizes of funds are relatively uniform in the long term. 10-year horizon IRRs (which use changes in NAV in addition to industry-wide net contributions over time as the cash flow inputs in an IRR calculation) for PE funds of any size bucket are between 10% and 11%...

Markit Recap – 11/14/2016

We noted last month that realised volatility in the European investment grade CDS market, as measured by the Markit VolX index, was at its lowest for two years. By the end of October, volatility had dipped to 18%, which was the lowest level since the heady days of June 2007. A number of future events were mooted that had the potential to trigger market uncertainty, including next month’s Italian referendum.

But a victory for Donald Trump in the US presidential election was viewed by most as a highly unlikely occurrence. Spreads rallied in the run up to the vote, with the Markit CDX.NA.IG tightening from...

Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis -11/14/2016

European CLO Issuance

Issuance of European CLOs has reached a post-crisis high as jumbo investments in senior tranches have anchored issuance. European CLOs have seen year-to-date issuance of €14.7 billion across 36 deals, compared with the previous post-crisis high of €14.3 billion in 2014, when 34 deals were completed...

The Pulse of Private Equity - 11/14/2016

Add-ons retain commanding share of US buyout activity

At 64% of all US buyout activity through the end of September, add-ons have never before constituted such a lofty proportion of private equity investing. Part of that is a statistical quirk—as the volume of buyouts has slid while investors by and large maintained the pace of adding on, their relative proportion was bound to increase. But as has been noted time and again over the past couple years as the add-on percentage of...

Private Debt Intelligence - 11/14/2016

Europe- and North America-Focused Real Estate Debt Funds

Real estate debt has seen considerable growth within European markets over the past few years and fundraising grew significantly from €0.5bn in 2012 to €4.3bn in 2015, while a further €3.7bn has already been secured in 2016 YTD. Nonetheless, North America-focused fundraising still dwarfs that of Europe, with funds already raising a record €12.3bn in 2016...

Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis -11/7/2016

Downward flexes dominated in October

Downward flexes continued to dominate flex activity in October. There were 21 downward price flexes on first-lien institutional term loans in October and only 8 upward flexes. Both downward and upward price flexes were down from September which recorded 28 price cuts and 12 upward price revisions...

The Pulse of Private Equity - 11/7/2016

PE buyers still rooting for value in lower reaches of US middle market

The proliferation of private equity funds into all reaches of the US middle market has been well documented. Increased PE activity in the lower and core segments of the middle market is easy to see, particularly when assessing the median transaction size, which declined from a high in 2014 to $133.0 million last year and $128.6 million through the end of September. The slides aren’t dramatic, of course, but as can also be seen in the relatively more resilient proportions of PE dealmaking within the lower middle market...