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The Pulse of Private Equity - 1/16/2017

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Has US add-on activity peaked?

Last year, US private equity investors added on to extant holdings so frequently that the proportion of add-ons to all buyouts hit no less than 64%. The steady increase over the past six years, and especially the rapid surge of 3% even as overall activity fell, both speak to the increasing maturation of adding on as a PE investment strategy and its relative attraction in the current environment...

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Private Debt Intelligence - 1/16/2017

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Private Debt Fundraising Success, 2012 – 2016

Although private debt fundraising in 2016 did not match the levels seen in previous years, Preqin research finds that a record proportion of funds exceeded their target size. However, the year also saw funds take longer to reach a final close, on average, than in any previous year as smaller managers struggle to attract capital at the same rate as the most experienced firms.

In 2016, nearly a quarter (23%) of private debt vehicles exceeded their target size by more than 125%, while a further 38% of funds achieved 101-124% of their target...

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis -1/9/2017

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2016 middle market syndicated loan issuance lowest since 2009

Middle market syndicated loan issuance only reached US$139bn in 2016, down 3% from 2015 levels and the lowest annual level tracked since 2009. Several factors drove the lower levels. The non-sponsored market was the biggest culprit as issuers had no incentive to hit the market to refinance as long term financings were locked in during previous years. Furthermore, slow growth and uncertainty surrounding the economy and macro events such as...

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The Pulse of Private Equity - 1/9/2017

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First-time US PE funds make slight comeback in 2016, but still a low portion of total fundraising

First-time private equity funds in the US amassed just shy of $7.5 billion in 2016, across 26 pools of capital. Although both figures were distinct increases from 2015 - which logged 17 first-time PE funds and $4.6 billion raised - as a proportion of total US PE fundraising, first-time fundraising activity still remains at a considerable low relative to earlier in the past decade...

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Private Debt Intelligence - 1/9/2017

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Private Debt: 2016 Fundraising Update

In 2016, the private debt industry saw a cool-off in fundraising following the banner year in 2015 when almost $100bn was raised. The year was also characterised by a concentration of capital among the larger, more experienced managers while the fundraising marketplace grew increasingly congested as investor appetite for private debt increases.

Overall, 119 funds closed globally raising a combined $74bn, with Preqin expecting these figures to rise by up to a further 10% as more information becomes available...

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Markit Recap – 1/2/2017

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John Maynard Keynes said we live in a world of irreducible uncertainty, while neoclassical economists state that perfect information is available and people make rational expectations. The events of the last decade suggest that the former school of thought has more credence, though “freshwater” economists would no doubt disagree.

Uncertainty of the political variety looks set to be the overriding theme for 2017, regardless of whether one thinks the market is driven by rational agents or not. A new US president promising radical policy changes; elections in France, Germany and the Netherlands...

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis -1/2/2017

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Just shy of US$2tr 2016 US syndicated loan volume is flat year over year

US arrangers pushed almost US$2 Tr through retail syndication in 2016, levels on par with 2015 totals but down modestly compared to the US$2.1tr raised in 2014. The year got off to a slow start as the market volatility that was observed in the oil and gas and commodities sectors in late 2015 carried over to the first quarter of 2016, dampening lender appetite and limiting the pipeline of deals...

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Private Debt Intelligence - 1/2/2017

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Infrastructure Debt Rises in Prominence

Although banks are the primary providers of financing for global infrastructure projects, liquidity and capital requirements can prevent them from fully serving the market. This has led to an opportunity for the unlisted fund management industry to become a significant niche player in the provision of debt financing for infrastructure...

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The Pulse of Private Equity - 1/2/2017

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What is in store for US private equity in 2017?

After a high-water mark for US private equity activity in 2015, last year experienced a significant slowing in not only the number of closed deals but also total deal value, the latter ameliorated by a bevy of blockbuster transactions. This was driven in part by the progression of a typical investment cycle, wherein after a steady ramp-up in dealmaking the market attracts more and more firms looking to cut deals and consequently becomes pricier...

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Markit Recap – 12/12/2016

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It’s that time of year when analysts dust off their crystal balls and make predictions for the next 12 months. In December 2015 not many were forecasting that Britain would vote to leave the EU, and even fewer were betting on a Donald Trump presidential victory, so investors would be wise to treat such missives with caution. Political risk is a capricious beast, even for the most seasoned market observers.

But, caveats aside, there seems to be a consensus forming that 2017 will be tough year for one particular asset class: emerging market debt. A Trump presidency will usher in a new era of lower taxes – especially for high earners – and expansionary fiscal policy...

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