Chart of the Week: Larger for Longer
Echoing dynamics in the loan market, corporate debt maturities have lengthened. Source: Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Echoing dynamics in the loan market, corporate debt maturities have lengthened. Source: Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
The bulk of private debt doesn’t start maturing until 2027, peaking in 2028. Source: KBRA DLD(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Less than 20% of institutional leveraged loans come due in the next three years. Source: PitchBook LCD, Morningstar LSTA US Leveraged Loan Index(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
The share of GP-led equity secondaries has peaked relative to LP-leds. Source: Jefferies(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
With higher rates creating financing and valuation challenges, M&A has plummeted. Source: PitchBook(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Investors benefit from – and issuers work through – higher-for-longer rates. Source: LSEG LPC(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
US interest rates have returned to their average levels of the past half century. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
The past two years have not been kind to holders of ten-year Treasurys. Source: The Daily Shot, Alpine Macro(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
The futures market now expects Fed Funds to be 120 bps lower next year. Source: The Daily Shot(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Economic growth estimates for next year have improved in recent months. Source: Bloomberg, The Daily Shot(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)