Private capital fundraising for the first quarter was predominantly for direct lending. Source: Preqin Pro(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

Middle market direct lending spreads per unit of leverage consistently higher than large caps. Source: LSEG LPC(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

Distributions to LPs are severely hampered by slower M&A activity since Covid. Source: Ares Management, Goldman Sachs(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

Lower earnings activity is not always synchronized with worse economic performance. Source: Nuveen Multi-Asset, Bloomberg monthly S&P trailing 12 month EPS YoY; National Bureau of Economic Research Economic Recession Indicator from Jan ’54 Mar ‘24(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

Repricings, refinancings, and extensions hit record volume in the BSL market. Source: PitchBook LCD(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

Since the Fed’s rate hike regime began, more bankruptcies are reorganizations. Source: Torsten Slok – Apollo, The Daily Shot(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

Global private fund returns of capital has begun to improve since early 2023. Source: MSCI – Private Assets in Focus(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

Higher for longer has compressed leverage for both cov-lite and cov-heavy loans. Source: LSEG LPC(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

Loan participants see higher defaults from 1.6% today, but not much higher. Source: PitchBook/LCD(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

Market observers now think a rate cut at the Fed’s June meeting is unlikely.   Source: The Daily Shot(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)